Richard Lindzen (CCNet, 22 July 2009) was too generous by half in his assessment that “although ideally science is independent of moral fashions, in practice there is undoubtedly an influence”.
The history of science is rife with examples of political, social and moral fashions which not simply influence, but pervert the scientific method and corrupt the conduct of scientists. Einstein faced off the political and moral fashions of Nazism and eugenics but plenty of his colleagues happily incorporated those twin systems into their own research. Eugenics also laid the foundations for the moral crusade against alcohol in early 20th Century America which was again a supposedly scientific assessment delivered as a moral panic which must be addressed immediately lest America fall into a deep pit of moral degeneration.
The example of Trofim Lysenko and the political outlawing of Mendelian genetics in Stalinist Russia is a particularly scary example of a political fashion given to be a moral and political imperative by a dangerously unstable man who became President of the Russian Academy of Sciences. The parallels with the modern global warming scare are obvious.
Another example would be neo-Malthusianism as popularised in the 20th Century repeatedly by Paul Erlich first in the 1960s and more recently by the scarily named “Optimum Population Trust” which includes such luminaries as Dir David Attenborough calling for mandatory limits on family size to prevent near future overpopulation and mass starvation. Once again, a supposed scientific analysis is communicated as a moral imperative.
John Holdren, now President Obama’s climate czar, co-wrote several books with Paul Erlich in the 1970s at least one of which argued for forced abortions, forced adoptions of illegitimate children or from mothers “who contribute to general social deterioration by overproducing children” and the introduction of chemicals into water and food that rendered people sterile. All of this to forestall a crisis of overpopulation by the year 2000! See http://zombietime.com/john_holdren/ for the original citations.
Carl Sagan, Erlich and others began and propagated the Nuclear Winter story of the 1980s, together with scary scenarios about likely darkening of the skies due to dust from burning cities rising into the stratosphere and blocking out the Sun. All with the aid of computer models with extremely rubbery parameters and dubious simplifications – a moral imperative against nuclear weapons? You betcha! Even Richard Feynman, iconoclast as he was, while averring that the underlying theory was nonsense, could not raise his voice too loud lest people think he was in favour of nuclear proliferation. Moral panics do that to the best of scientists*.
There are lots more examples, but you get the idea. These scientific fashions all in their own time held great sway in academia and mainstream media. They divided scientists into those who were credible and those who were so morally and intellectually corrupt as to actually oppose these ideas.
Modern environmentalism has most, if not all of the above ideas incorporated into the unholy fusion of science and Marxist political theory now called “ecology”, but is really a manifestation of what David Henderson memorably called “Global Salvationism”.
The most interesting thing about all of this is that I, as a classical liberal, can find common cause with people from a wide spectrum of political and philosophical beliefs that the lessons of history are that moral fashions in science are endemic, cyclical and a constant menace to the real business of scientists to understand how the Universe works.
Scientists don’t live in a fashion-free vacuum. They dress themselves in the fashions of the day, read the latest scare stories of the day, follow the latest celebrity soap operas of the day and most of all abide by rules to not upset the funding apple-cart from which their work is done, whatever their personal and moral qualms, at least until retirement.
(John A was the founding webmaster of Climate Audit and now blogs at things.auditblogs.com. This article originally appeared on 24th July 2009 in Benny Peiser’s CCNet newsletter)
* By coincidence, this snippet appeared in the same edition of CCNet and seems very appropriate here. TonyN
Dr. Shiller [economist and co-inventor of the Case-Shiller house price index] was concerned about what he saw as an impending house price bubble when he served as an adviser to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York up until 2004. So why didn’t he burst his lungs warning about the impending collapse of the housing market? “While I warned about the bubbles I believed were developing in the stock and housing markets, I did so very gently, and felt vulnerable expressing such quirky views. Deviating too far from consensus leaves one feeling potentially ostracized from the group, with the risk that one may be terminated.”
Tony,
There are many examples of scientists being forced to duck and weave in criticizing moral fashions of their day.
In reading the email again, I wonder whether I was excessively cynical in the final paragraph. What I meant to convey is that scientists are human, and can be pressured into supporting (or at least not openly opposing) the moral fashions of the day, if only because the funding they receive often does not come without a moral imperative attached.
John:
I don’t think you are being excessively cynical, or even just cynical. The influences you mention are all too real and the days of scientists funding themselves from their private incomes and living in ivory towers are well and truly over.
Susan Greenfield of the Royal Institution got into terrible trouble during a BBC discussion some time ago by saying, in the context of the the climate debate, that the prime concern of all research scientists is funding; without it they cannot practice their craft. The rest of the interviewees plus the presenter promptly piled in on her, even though what Greenfield was saying was not only true, but very very obvious.
Surely among the qualifications that a successful climate scientist requires at the moment is very sensitive political antenna, in the broadest sense of the term. Hulme is a good example.
Your post ties in well with Robin Guenier’s contribution on the Sunstein paper:
Obama adviser: ‘How to become an extremist’
It would also seem that someones antenna are waving at CRU right now according to CA.
Yes, and we think of ourselves these days as enlightened.
However, when we refocus, and look at trends over decades, centuries even, it’s not hard to imagine that these last 30/40 years will be reviewed with absolute astonishment. And what will eventually bring truth into focus is the ability now to exchange ideas worldwide via the internet. Perhaps the Age of Aquarius is nearly over…